Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 10.839619 12.497035 14.269283 16.299276 18.553955 20.975154 23.765414
2025-06-22 8.693307 10.850240 13.298937 16.264150 19.736059 23.650677 28.375290
2025-06-29 7.353111 9.815200 12.753422 16.475869 21.020656 26.342283 32.994284
2025-07-06 6.356695 9.010207 12.319413 16.678557 22.192379 28.854417 37.423923
2025-07-13 5.698027 8.519941 12.178100 17.161798 23.657638 31.714518 42.325762
2025-07-20 5.105172 8.028207 11.956848 17.476800 24.869322 34.255021 46.876200
2025-07-27 4.504548 7.445287 11.539702 17.465825 25.608875 36.176010 50.662431
2025-08-03 3.799520 6.623998 10.706337 16.800563 25.398688 36.806880 52.752281
2025-08-10 3.319519 6.080166 10.209205 16.547395 25.702199 38.088456 55.695513
2025-08-17 2.877657 5.541620 9.665287 16.172078 25.788306 39.046475 58.199891
2025-08-24 2.540020 5.131205 9.274545 15.982356 26.106980 40.307951 61.125128
2025-08-31 2.207656 4.688562 8.790960 15.608566 26.119955 41.118370 63.424772
2025-09-07 2.005680 4.454503 8.625908 15.718384 26.856114 42.983176 67.264760
2025-09-14 1.788637 4.165752 8.343386 15.616844 27.256099 44.363149 70.442545
2025-09-21 1.642160 3.992581 8.240388 15.792728 28.079413 46.374130 74.565252
2025-09-28 1.511816 3.834732 8.148941 15.976122 28.912546 48.413755 78.770305
2025-10-05 1.433669 3.773624 8.223347 16.437568 30.197015 51.156035 84.061041
2025-10-12 1.340348 3.668897 8.208020 16.739526 31.229421 53.537869 88.867103
2025-10-19 1.216269 3.481134 8.021261 16.727902 31.743326 55.133815 92.530674
2025-10-26 1.033464 3.134172 7.498899 16.084883 31.179092 55.038243 93.635957
2025-11-02 0.913971 2.916669 7.209442 15.840212 31.262405 55.941878 96.262217
2025-11-09 0.796494 2.685077 6.869595 15.477735 31.122365 56.478004 98.324628
2025-11-16 0.707770 2.512034 6.634409 15.294533 31.277460 57.479706 101.117802